The Blame Game by Salim Muwakkil
Black voters did their part for the Democrats - but their issues are on the back burner
The GOP's stunning sweep on Election Day has dashed Democrats' political hopes of congressional gains and further marginalized the party's most reliable bloc of voters, the black electorate.
The black Democratic candidates who ran high-profile statewide races all lost. African-American voters also were expected to provide the margin of victories for Democrats in a number of state House and Senate races. Those expectations never materialized. According to Ron Walters of the University of Maryland, a leading analyst of black politics, Democrats failed to ignite the passion of the black electorate. "There were several reasons," he notes, "but the main ones were a lack of national leadership, failure to develop a clear alternative ideology and a Republican-lite issues platform."
In attempting to explain the sweeping GOP victory, many analysts, like Walters, initially speculated that African-Americans didn't turn out to vote. But surprisingly, the National Coalition on Black Civic Participation reports that African-American turnout was about 39.3 percent this year. In the 1998 midterm election, it was 37.5 percent. Analysts are finding that although black voters did their part for the Democrats, the GOP efforts to energize white voters were unusually successful.
David Bositis of the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies says that despite historical patterns favoring opposition parties in midterm elections, Democrats were fighting some pretty high odds. Facing a popular, wartime president who effectively nationalized the election and wielded his eminence to boost the campaigns of key GOP candidates, their options were limited. "Given the heavily Republican tenor of the times," Bositis says, "the Democrats didn't fare too badly."
Political consultant Donna Brazile, former manager of Al Gore's presidential campaign, says the black vote was critical in Mark Pryor's win of a Senate seat in Arkansas and Phil Bredesen's gubernatorial victory in Tennessee-and it kept Democratic Sen. Jean Carnahan competitive in her narrow loss to Jim Talent in Missouri.
The black electorate pretty much held its own in this election; in fact, the Congressional Black Caucus actually increased its number from 38 to 39. (Georgia state Sen. David Scott won the election for the state's recently created 13th Congressional District.) All the black members of the 108th Congress will be Democrats after J.C. Watts, the lone black Republican, steps down from his Oklahoma seat in January.
Newcomer Scott will join Florida's Kendrick Meek as Black Caucus freshmen. Meek succeeds his mother, Rep. Carrie Meek, as a representative from Miami. The two other black freshmen are Georgia's Denise Majette and Alabama's Artur Davis, who defeated incumbents Cynthia McKinney and Earl Hilliard, respectively, in the primaries. Both of these races were bathed in controversial claims that Majette and Davis were doing the bidding of Washington lobbyists seeking to oust two of Congress' rare critics of Israeli policy. Both had voted against a congressional resolution last May that applauded Ariel Sharon's military incursions into Palestinian territory, provided millions in additional aid to the Israeli military, and blamed the problems of the Middle East solely on the Palestinians.
Although in Israel McKinney's views would be considered to the right of Gush Shalom, a venerable peace organization, here she and Hilliard were targeted by the influential American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), which lavished campaign contributions on their opponents. Their races were object lessons in what happens to any member of Congress who strays too far from the pro-Israeli consensus on the Middle East. Davis and Majette are not likely to offer challenging critiques of U.S. foreign policy, nor are they expected to deviate much from the moderate domestic positions they outlined during their campaigns.
Tennessee's Harold Ford Jr. and New York's Gregory W. Meeks, two re-elected incumbents, also have sought to distinguish themselves from their predecessors by staking out moderate-right positions in national politics. And no matter what its stand ideologically, the Congressional Black Caucus will be further marginalized by the Democrats' minority status.
The two African-American challengers for gubernatorial offices failed. In Nevada, the Republican incumbent trounced state Sen. Joe Neal by a margin of more than 50 percent. New York state comptroller H. Carl McCall fell short in his race against popular incumbent George Pataki. "McCall ran a respectable race," Bositis says. "Remember-not only is Pataki a hero of 9/11, he is a pretty liberal Republican."
But many observers slammed McCall's campaign for its timid treatment of issues important to the black community. In a state that has been the location of some of the most horrific examples of police brutality-including the police killing of unarmed Amadou Diallo and the broomstick attack on innocent Abner Louima-and for complaints of racial profiling, McCall barely mentioned the subjects in his campaign rhetoric. "In the campaign of H. Carl McCall, the first black candidate from a major party to run for governor in New York, there is no surer way to kill a conversation than to bring up the subject of race," wrote Shaila K. Dewan in a New York Times story describing the campaign's last days.
Ron Kirk, the Texas senatorial candidate and former Dallas mayor, also sought to de-emphasize race in his doomed campaign. Ironically, his candidacy was heralded as part of a multi-ethnic "dream ticket," which included a Mexican-American candidate for governor and a white candidate for lieutenant governor. Kirk's racial identity initially was marketed to boost his chances against his popular Republican opponent, but it was played down during the campaign. All three members of the "dream ticket" lost.
McCall and Kirk were simply trying to navigate their campaigns through the pock-mocked terrain of post-civil rights America. Like other black politicians seeking a statewide office, they were forced to struggle with the dilemma of how to remain relevant to their base of support without alienating other voters. Even the much-heralded new breed of black politician, like Ford or New Jersey's Corey Booker - the young, black Ivy Leaguer who challenged old-guard Newark Mayor Sharpe James and lost - have yet to figure out how to resolve this dilemma.
Although many of these "new school" black politicians tried to avoid the protest tactics and civil rights idioms of their predecessors, they found few other ways to connect with their base. Majette defeated McKinney with a heavy infusion of support from sources outside not only her district, but her party. (In fact, allies of McKinney have filed suit in U.S. District Court in Atlanta charging that "malicious" crossover voting by Republicans for Majette interfered with the voting rights of the 4th District Democrats. They filed for equitable relief under the Voting Rights Act, asking that McKinney be declared the winner. Not much chance of that, experts say.)
While Majette and Alabama's Davis do represent moderate alternatives to Hilliard and McKinney, white voters heavily supported their victories. And although recent surveys by the Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies have showed that African-Americans, particularly younger respondents, identify less with the Democratic Party than do older blacks, there are few indications of any major political realignment. African-Americans are much less likely to give Bush support for the war on Iraq that some pundits claim the election vouchsafed. According to a recent poll conducted by Bositis' group, only 6 percent of blacks in America see the war as a key concern, and only 19.2 percent of them support it.
But like the progressives who share much of their political profile, the views of the African-American electorate will drift to the back burner until at least 2004. So they need to get to work now.
Salim Muwakkil is editor of In These Times Magazine and can be contacted via e-mail at: Salim4X@aol.com
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Salim Muwakkil Thursday, December 12, 2002 To discuss this article further enter The Deeper Look Dialogue Room
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